O/U. Over/Under. Playoff %'s. Meaning chances of making the playoffs, with 1 being a relative certainty that they will make the playoffs, 0.5 meaning they have about a 50% chance of making the playoffs, and 0 being very unlikely to make the playoffs. SB A. SB W. Super Bowl appearance %, and Super Bowl Winner %. Same basic percentage principle applies here.
I don't really like having two teams have a repeat appearance in the SB, which is part of the reason why the Patriots and Giants numbers are so low. And it is very hard to repeat, plus I just don't really think that either team will do it this year.
I was having some problems moving the NFC marker up, so I'll just leave it where it is. So, obviously, the NFC should actually start above the NY Giants instead of right above New Orleans.
AFC
|
Wins
|
O/U
|
Playoff %'s
|
SB A
|
SB W
|
NE Pats
|
12.4
|
12.5
|
1
|
0.1
|
|
NY Jets
|
9.8
|
9
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
Miami
|
7.9
|
8
|
0.1
|
||
Buffalo
|
5.8
|
6
|
0.1
|
||
Houston
|
9.9
|
10.5
|
1
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
Tennessee
|
7.5
|
7.5
|
0.1
|
||
Indy
|
5.6
|
5
|
0.1
|
||
Jacksonville
|
3.7
|
4
|
0
|
||
Pittsburgh
|
10.7
|
10.5
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
|
Baltimore
|
10.6
|
10.5
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
Cincy
|
6.6
|
7
|
0.1
|
||
Cleveland
|
4.1
|
5
|
0
|
||
Denver
|
10.5
|
10.5
|
0.9
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
San Diego
|
9.8
|
10
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
|
Oakland
|
6.8
|
7
|
0.1
|
||
KC
|
4.1
|
6
|
0
|
||
NY Giants
|
9.8
|
9
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
|
Philly
|
9
|
9.5
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
Dallas
|
9
|
9.5
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
Washington
|
5.5
|
6
|
0.1
|
||
NFC
|
Wins
|
O/U
|
Playoff %'s
|
SB A
|
SB W
|
New Orleans
|
10.7
|
10.5
|
0.9
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
Atlanta
|
9.5
|
10
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
|
Carolina
|
6.4
|
7
|
0.1
|
||
Tampa Bay
|
4.7
|
5
|
0
|
||
Green Bay
|
12.7
|
13
|
1
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
Chicago
|
10
|
9.5
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
|
Detroit
|
9.4
|
8.5
|
0.2
|
||
Minnesota
|
6
|
5
|
0
|
||
San Fran
|
9.8
|
10.5
|
0.9
|
0.1
|
|
Seattle
|
6.7
|
7.5
|
0.1
|
||
Arizona
|
5.4
|
7
|
0
|
||
St. Louis
|
5.1
|
4.5
|
0
|
I originally made my O/U numbers a few months ago before the draft, but I'm taking the Vegas lines from the present, so I suppose I'm at a slight disadvantage.
I'm just subtracting their O/U number from my O/U number. My O/U was a combination of what I thought the O/U should be and what I thought Vegas would have it at, though my O/U was weighted slightly towards me.
NE Pats =
|
NY Jets 0.5
|
Miami+1
|
Buffalo-1.5
|
Houston+1
|
Tennessee =
|
Indy-0.5
|
Jacksonville-1
|
Pittsburgh.5
|
Baltimore.5
|
Cincinnati-1
|
Cleveland =
|
Denver+2
|
San Diego+1
|
Oakland-.5
|
KC-2
|
NFC |
NY Giants =
|
Philly-0.5
|
Dallas+1
|
Washington-0.5
|
New Orleans+1 |
Atlanta+1
|
Carolina-.5
|
Tampa Bay-.5
|
Green Bay+1.5
|
Chicago =
|
Detroit-0.5
|
Minnesota-1
|
San Fran +1
|
Seattle =
|
Arizona.5
|
St. Louis -1.5
|
Not a whole lot that I can glean from that. Other than that my O/U numbers were surprisingly accurate, which is pretty cool. My numbers would also say that Denver, San Diego, Dallas, New Orleans, Atlanta, Miami, Houston, San Francisco, and Green Bay are underrated teams, while Buffalo, Jacksonville, Cincinnati, Kansas City, Minnesota, and St. Louis are overrated teams.
I would probably agree with all of those except for Miami, San Francisco, St. Louis, and Jacksonville.
Favored in: Basically just means that, from a before preseason outlook, I think that Baltimore would be a favorite in 12 games, a push-em type game in three games, and an underdog in one game.
AFC
|
Favored in
|
Minimum W
|
Toss up Games
|
Minimum L
|
NE Pats
|
14-1-1
|
11
|
3
|
2
|
NY Jets
|
10-1-5
|
8
|
4
|
4
|
Miami
|
6-3-6
|
5
|
7
|
4
|
Buffalo
|
2-4-10
|
5
|
5
|
6
|
Houston
|
9-2-5
|
8
|
4
|
4
|
Tennessee
|
6-3-6
|
4
|
6
|
6
|
Indy
|
3-3-10
|
3
|
6
|
7
|
Jacksonville
|
0-1-15
|
1
|
6
|
9
|
Pittsburgh
|
14-0-2
|
7
|
6
|
3
|
Baltimore
|
12-3-1
|
9
|
5
|
2
|
Cincy
|
5-2-9
|
4
|
5
|
7
|
Cleveland
|
1-2-13
|
3
|
7
|
6
|
Denver
|
11-1-4
|
8
|
5
|
3
|
San Diego
|
11-1-4
|
7
|
5
|
4
|
Oakland
|
4-2-10
|
4
|
5
|
7
|
KC
|
1-0-15
|
3
|
4
|
9
|
NFC |
Favored in
|
Minimum
|
Toss Up
|
Minimum L
|
NY Giants
|
9-3-4
|
6
|
4
|
6
|
Philly
|
9-3-4
|
7
|
4
|
5
|
Dallas
|
8-3-5
|
7
|
4
|
5
|
Washington
|
2-4-10
|
5
|
6
|
5
|
New Orleans
|
12-0-4
|
8
|
4
|
4
|
Atlanta
|
10-2-4
|
7
|
4
|
5
|
Carolina
|
5-1-10
|
5
|
5
|
6
|
Tampa Bay
|
2-2-12
|
3
|
6
|
7
|
Green Bay
|
15-0-1
|
10
|
4
|
2
|
Chicago
|
10-1-5
|
6
|
4
|
6
|
Detroit
|
8-2-6
|
6
|
4
|
6
|
Minnesota
|
5-0-11
|
4
|
5
|
7
|
San Fran
|
13-0-3
|
7
|
5
|
4
|
Seattle
|
4-2-10
|
5
|
5
|
6
|
Arizona
|
2-2-12
|
4
|
5
|
7
|
St. Louis
|
2-4-10
|
4
|
4
|
8
|
