Monday, September 7, 2015

NFL Preview for 2015


TeamOverall RecordPower Ranking1st Selection of Games2nd Selection of GamesRelative Recaps
Dolphins11-586-05-5Dolphins' defense dominates.
Patriots11-537-14-4Patriots pulverize first half of opposition.
Jets7-9222-55-4Jets jumbled but finally lack jargon.
Bills7-9215-32-6Bills belittle most important position.
Bengals9-7113-46-3Bengals all business in second half.
Steelers8-8166-42-4Steelers stumble at finish.
Browns7-9244-43-5Browns bilk opportunity to win division.
Ravens7-9195-42-5Ravens remain restless.
Texans9-7146-23-5Texans topple Colts' tradition.
Colts9-7105-54-2Colts' progress slows among consternation
Titans5-11292-73-4Titans trip in finishing games.
Jaguars3-13321-82-5Jaguars lack creativity and remain a joke.
Chargers11-595-36-2Chargers passing game is in its own class.
Broncos10-654-36-3Broncos bitter about blasé finish.
Chiefs7-9184-43-5Chiefs comply to complacency.
Raiders4-12311-63-6Raiders reflect on ridicule.
TeamOverall RecordPower Ranking1st Selection of Games2nd Selection of GamesRelative Recaps
Eagles10-626-14-5Eagles execute exclusive offense.
Cowboys8-8126-32-5Cowboys carelessly cast aside division.
Giants8-8234-54-3Giants grow but do not graduate.
Washington6-10262-74-3Washington weary of waste.
Packers10-646-24-4Packers positive despite plight.
Vikings9-7132-57-2Vikings voracious in second half.
Lions8-8154-34-5Lions languish in leisure.
Bears6-10253-43-6Bears begin building.
Falcons11-567-24-3Falcons flash in first half.
Saints8-8173-55-3Saints simulate good offense despite parts.
Buccaneers5-11302-63-5Buccaneers bewildered by bluster.
Panthers5-11281-64-5Panthers prepare to be petulant.
Rams11-574-27-3Rams revert to roaring 1999.
Seahawks11-515-46-1Seahawks sizzle yet still skid.
49ers9-7206-33-449ers flamboyant in floundering.
Cardinals5-11273-42-7Cardinals contemplate culture.

NFL
Some of the word content is lacking in my NFL preview for 2015 due to a lack of information/research and time constraints, but I did continue to produce an abundance of numbers for my NFL preview.  In the capsules for each team a grade of "C" does not necessarily mean an average team, it only relates to whether or not I think the team stayed roughly the same as compared to last season in regards to personnel.  Some of the additions may be off, due to finishing that part of the process a few weeks ago.

AFC
East
I expect the Dolphins to improve defensively and continue their offensive growth to capture the AFC East.  The Patriots will continue to beat the opposition, regardless of turnovers.  Finally, the Jets and Bills will both struggle due to lacking a decent player at the most important position in football.  Overall the AFC East is tied for the best division in the NFL.

Miami Dolphins
Additions: Jordan Cameron, Ndamukong Suh, C.J. Mosley
Losses: Daniel Thomas, Charles Clay, Mike Wallace, Corland Finnegan
Offseason Grade: B

New England Patriots
Additions: Matt Flynn, Kevin Dorsey, Scott Chandler, Robert McClain, Bradley Fletcher
Losses: Shane Vereen, Stevan Ridley, Darrelle Revis, Vince Wilfork
C-

New York Jets
Additions: Stevan Ridley, Kellen Davis, Joe Mays, Darrelle Revis, Antonio Cromartie, Brandon Marshall, Ryan Fitzpatrick, DeVier Posey, Zac Stacy, Todd Bowles HC, Chan Gailey OC
Losses: Kyle Wilson, Percy Harvin, Rex Ryan HC
B+

Buffalo Bills
Additions: Tyrod Taylor, Percy Harvin, Richie Incognito, LeSean McCoy, Rex Ryan HC
Losses: C.J. Spiller, Kiko Alonso
B-

North
I expect a fair level of consistency from each team in the AFC North.  No division winner would surprise me, but I would expect that the Bengals are the most likely division winners, while the remaining three teams are all quite competitive and have an opportunity to make the playoffs if they take advantage of the chances they are given.  I think of the AFC North as an above average division, yet somehow the teams ended up with an overall average below .500.

Cincinnati Bengals
Additions: Denarius Moore, A.J. Hawk
Losses: Taylor Mays, Terence Newman
C

Pittsburgh Steelers
Additions: Tajh Boyd, Devin Gardner
Losses: Lance Moore, Troy Polamalu, Ike Taylor
C

Cleveland Browns
Additions: Josh McCown, Terrelle Pryor, Dwayne Bowe
Losses: Brian Hoyer, Miles Austin, Jordan Cameron
C-

Baltimore Ravens
Additions: Matt Schaub, Kendrick Lewis, Marc Trestman OC
Losses: Tyrod Tayor, Owen Daniels, Torrey Smith, Haloti Ngata, Benard Pierce, Gary Kubiak OC
D+

South
I expect Hoyer and the Texans to pull out a few close games, the Colts to finally lose some of their close games, and the Titans and Jaguars to be mired in complacency. I actually would put the Colts as the favorite to win the division, but I wanted to change up the Indianapolis dynasty that has occurred in this division over the years.  I fail to understand why some teams fail to experiment at quarterback, the Jaguars could easily take a look at Tim Tebow, a quarterback in the CFL, Colt McCoy, etc., yet instead they decide to remain with 'projects' at quarterback who do not typically help them to win games. If the situation is awful, then think outside the box, think outside the conventional wisdom...  While the Colts and Texans are both semi-decent teams, the Titans and Jaguars drag this division down to the level of worst in the NFL.

Houston Texans
Additions: Brian Hoyer, Cecil Shorts, Nate Washington, Vince Wilfork, Rahim Moore
Losses: Kendrick Lewis, Ryan Fitzpatrick, DeVier Posey, Andre Johnson, D.J. Swearinger
C-

Indianapolis Colts
Additions: Frank Gore, Andre Johnson, Trent Cole
Losses: Hakeem Nicks, Josh Gordy, Trent Richardson, LaRon Landry
C+

Tennessee Titans
Additions: Hakeem Nicks, Harry Douglas, Anthony Fasano, Perrish Cox
Losses: Nate Washington, Kris Durham, Brandon Ghee, Jake Locker, Lache Seastrunk, Michael Oher
C+

Jacksonville Jaguars
Additions: Benard Pierce, Julius Thomas, Sergio Brown
Losses: Cecil Shorts, Alan Ball
B-

West
I have a high opinion of Mike McCoy, consequently I gave the Chargers both wins over the Broncos and the resulting division crown.  Peyton Manning is 39 years old, so it could be expected that it is only a matter of time until his play deteriorates, to a certain level anyways.  Replacing an average coach with a poor coach is always a great idea, so good luck to the Broncos on that decision.  I probably underrated the Chiefs, but when I W & L'd the schedule the wins failed to appear for them.  I have a slightly above average view of this division, but the overall record for it is simply .500.

San Diego Chargers
Additions: Stevie Johnson, Austin Pettis, Jacoby Jones, Patrick Robinson
Losses: Ryan Matthews, Edie Royal, Reggie Walker
C+

Denver Broncos
Additions: Owen Daniels, Antonio Smith, Gary Kubiak HC (Why?)
Losses: Julius Thomas, Jacob Tamme, Orlando Franklin, John Fox HC
D+

Kansas City Chiefs
Additions: Jeremy Maclin, Tyvon Branch
Losses: Chris Owens, Kurt Coleman, Dwayne Bowe, Anthony Fasano
B-

Oakland Raiders
Additions: Roy Helu, Trent Richardson, Michael Crabtree, Rodney Hudson, Malcolm Smith, Curtis Lofton, Jack Del Rio HC, Bill Musgrave OC (Great hire)
Losses: Darren McFadden, Vincent Brown, Pat Sims, Antonio Smith, LaMarr Woodley, Matt Schaub, Dennis Allen/Tony Sparano HC
B-

NFC
East
I was disappointed that Tim Tebow did not work out in Philadelphia, but the Eagles will be fine without him.  I expect the Cowboys to take a bit of a step back and to potentially lose the turnover battle this year.  I think the Giants are supposed to be Super Bowl bound this year, according to the timeline Coach Coughlin has followed anyways, but I rather doubt it will happen..  Washington has the potential to at least be a .500 team, but turnovers from their quartabcks will likely heavily impact their season's win-loss record.
Philadelphia Eagles
Additions: TIM TEBOW, DeMarco Murray, Miles Austin, Brad Jones, Sam Bradford, Kiko Alonso
Losses: Chris Polk, Jeremy Maclin, Bradley Fletcher, Nick Foles, LeSean McCoy, Trent Cole
B-

Dallas Cowboys
Additions: Darren McFadden, Lache Seastrunk
Losses: DeMarco Murray, Bruce Carter, Sterling Moore
C-

New York Giants
Additions: Shane Vereen, Dwayne Harris, Marshall Newhouse, Josh Gordy
Losses: Zack Bowman, Antrel Rolle, Peyton Hillis, Mathias Kiwanuka
C
Washington Redskins
Additions: Chris Culliver, Jeron Johnson, Joe Berry DC
Losses: Roy Helu, Jarvis Jenkins, Tracy Porter
C+

North
Despite the loss of Jordy Nelson, I still see the Packers being the class of the AFC North.  The Vikings should take a small step forward this year with AP and Bridgewater.  The Lions suffered a somewhat miserable offseason, so that combined with regression from last year means they should fall a bit. The Bears are a confusing team to me.. Overall, I see them being somewhat consistent, as compared to last season.

Green Bay Packers
Additions:
Losses: Matt Flynn, Jarrett Boykin, Tramon Williams, A.J. Hawk, Kevin Dorsey
D+

Minnesota Vikings
Additions: Mike Kafka, Terence Newman, Mike Wallace
Losses: Jasper Brinkley, Greg Jennings
C+

Detroit Lions
Additions: Garrett Gilbert, Lance Moore, Greg Salas, Taylor Mays, Haloti Ngata
Losses: Kellen Davis, Ndamukong Suh, Nick Fairley, C.J. Mosley, Reggie Bush
D

Chicago Bears
Additions: Jacquizz Rodgers, Eddie Royal, Tracy Porter, John Fox HC
Losses: Josh Morgan, Brandon Marshall, Marc Trestman HC
D+

South
Many signs point to the Falcons improving this season, some of the main ones being the hiring of Coach Dan Quinn, regression from last season, and the signing of Jacob Tamme.  The Saints lack playmakers, otherwise they would compete for a wildcard spot.  The Buccaneers had a bit of a gutting to their roster in the offseason, but more importantly they still need to find a solution at quarterback.  Finally, the Panthers also need to acquire some sort of decent offensive playmakers.

Atlanta Falcons
Additions: Jacob Tamme, Adrian Clayborn, Justin Durant, Dan Quinn HC (Good)
Losses: Steven Jackson, Jacquizz Rodgers
B-

New Orleans Saints
Additions: C.J. Spiller, Josh Morgan, Brandon Browner
Losses: Patrick Robinson, Jimmy Graham, Kenny Stills, Pierre Thomas, Curtis Lofton
C-

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Additions: Bruce Carter, Sterling Moore, D.J. Swearinger, Dirk Koetter OC
Losses: Adrian Clayborn, Dane Fletcher, Mike Kafka, Etc.
C+

Carolina Panthers
Additions: Ted Ginn, Charles Tillman
Losses: Greg Hardy, DeAngelo Williams
C+

West
The Rams have not even managed to be an average team for many seasons, but I expect that they can overcome the difficulties and culture shock and capture the division.  The Seahawks are the best team in the NFL, in my opinion, but they face a fairly tough schedule once again.  The 49ers should be better than most expect.  Losing Harbaugh was a gigantic loss, but the rest of the offseason went extremely well for the 49ers.  Regression should finally catch up to the Cardinals this season. 

St. Louis Rams
Additions: Nick Fairley, Akeem Ayers, Case Keenum, Nick Foles
Losses: Alex Carrington, Sam Bradford, Zac Stacy, Jake Long, Brian Schottenheimer OC
B

Seattle Seahawks
Additions: Cary Williams, Will Blackmon
Losses: Bryan Walters, James Carpenter, Malcolm Smith, Dan Quinn DC
C-

San Francisco 49ers
Additions: Reggie Bush, Torrey Smith, Darnell Dockett, Phillip Wheeler, Jim Tomsula HC (Odd..)
Losses: Frank Gore, Josh Johnson, Mike Iupati, Michael Crabtree, Chris Culliver, Stevie Johnson, Jim Harbaugh HC
C-

Arizona Cardinals
Additions: Chandler Harnish, Sean Weatherspoon, LaMarr Woodley
Losses: Antonio Cromartie, Ted Ginn
C


Tebow at QBNew Power RankingChange in PRPredicted RecordLikely Seed
Patriots8-510-65
Bills81311-52 or 3
Browns131110-64 or 5
Jaguars181411-52
Titans161311-52
Raiders17149-76
Washington13139-76 or none
Cardinals111610-66
.
How to make the playoffs?PWRAFC TeamsPWRNFC Teams
Only need consistencyTop CaliberDolphins, Patriots, Chargers, BroncosTop CaliberEagles, Packers, Falcons, Rams, Seahawks
Half a standard deviation of better play.GoodBengals, Texans, ColtsGoodCowboys, Vikings
Play close to potential and get a few breaks.AverageJets, Bills, Steelers, Browns, Ravens, ChiefsAverageGiants, Lions, Saints, 49ers
Complete play and every favorable chance.PushoversTitans, Jaguars, RaidersPushoversWashington, Bears, Buccaneers, Panthers, Cardinals
.

First to Worst
Can HappenPanthers
Will Not HappenPatriots, Bengals, Colts, Broncos
Packers, Eagles, Seahawks
Worst to First
Can HappenJets, Browns, Washington
Bears, Rams
Will Not HappenJaguars, Raiders, Buccaneers
.
Poor Preseason Playoff Prediction
3 Texans1 Dolphins1 Dolphins2 Chargers
6 Broncos6 Broncos2 Chargers
4 Bengals2 Chargers
5 Patriots4 Bengals
3 Eagles1 Falcons1 Falcons1 Falcons
6 Vikings5 Seahawks3 Eagles
4 Packers2 Rams
5 Seahawks3 Eagles
1 Falcons


TeamChange in RecordPlayoff %Top 2 RSTop 4 PTop 2 PSBASBWFive B & W
Dolphins30.70.30.70.30.20.1B
Patriots-10.80.40.80.50.20.1
Jets30.2
Bills-20.30.1
Bengals-2.50.40.10.20.20.1
Steelers-30.30.1
Browns-30.2
Ravens00.40.10.10.1
Texans00.40.10.2
Colts-20.60.30.40.10.10.1
Titans30.1W
Jaguars00.1W
Chargers20.50.30.50.40.20.1B
Broncos-20.70.40.70.40.20.1
Chiefs-20.30.2
Raiders10.0W
TeamChange in RecordPlayoff %Top 2 RSTop 4 PTop 2 PSBASBWFive B & W
Eagles00.70.50.80.40.20.1B
Cowboys-40.50.10.30.20.1
Giants20.30.1
Washington20.1
Packers-20.60.30.60.40.20.1
Vikings20.40.2
Lions-30.30.10.1
Bears10.2
Falcons50.60.30.50.30.20.1B
Saints10.40.1
Buccaneers30.1W
Panthers-2.50.2W
Rams50.50.20.40.20.10.1B
Seahawks-10.70.40.60.40.20.1
49ers10.30.10.20.1
Cardinals-60.10.1
.
.

TeamProjLineDiffAdj %DiffCombinedO/U"Locks"
Dolphins11929.70.71.3O
Patriots1111011.50.50.3
Jets77.5-0.56.8-0.7-0.6
Bills78.5-1.57.3-1.2-1.3UU
Bengals98.50.58.70.20.4
Steelers88.5-0.57.6-0.9-0.7
Browns76.50.56.50.00.2
Ravens79.5-2.57.1-2.4-2.5UU
Texans98.50.58.70.20.4
Colts910.5-1.58.9-1.6-1.6UU
Titans55.5-0.56.20.70.1
Jaguars35.5-2.54.6-0.9-1.7(U)
Chargers118.52.59.00.51.5OO
Broncos1010.5-0.510.80.3-0.1
Chiefs78.5-1.57.2-1.3-1.4(U)
Raiders46-25.0-1.0-1.5UU
TeamProjLineDiffAdj %DiffCombinedO/U"Locks"
Eagles109.50.510.00.50.5
Cowboys89.5-1.59.0-0.5-1.0U
Giants8806.8-1.2-0.6
Washington66.5-0.56.60.1-0.2
Packers1011-110.5-0.5-0.8U
Vikings97.51.57.50.00.7O
Lions88.5-0.58.1-0.4-0.5
Bears66.5-0.56.60.1-0.2
Falcons118.52.510.31.82.2OO
Saints88.5-0.58.90.4-0.1
Buccaneers56-15.1-0.9-0.9(U)
Panthers58-36.3-1.7-2.3UU
Rams11838.90.91.9OO
Seahawks1111010.8-0.2-0.1
49ers96.52.58.92.42.4OO
Cardinals58.5-3.56.2-2.3-2.9UU
.
Quick college football Over/Unders: 
North Carolina, Minnesota, Arizona State, Auburn, Tennessee, and LSU over.
Clemson, Rutgers, Washington State, Colorado, and Utah under.

Thanks for reading, God bless.

Regular Two Point Conversion Attempts?

Across the American professional football landscape teams should regularly attempt more two point conversions.  While teams should almost always attempt two point conversions regardless, I would say that there is no excuse for a team to forgo attempting a two point conversion when they are the first team to score.  By attempting a two point conversion after the first touchdown a team should produce roughly an extra (assuming that they would only achieve a 48% conversion success rate on two point attempts) four points per season.  While four points would not generally change many games, it could certainly provide the difference between a loss and an overtime win.  

As a quick example of the potential advantage (in a risk-averse environment), a team scores first and converts the two point attempt, conversely the opposing team will quite possibly need to attempt a two point attempt, thereby being put in a slight disadvantage.  If a team scores first and fails to convert the two point attempt, then the team will still very likely have a chance to remain in a neutral position if they convert a two point attempt on their second attempt.  I would guesstimate that the chance of having another touchdown in a random professional game to be 91% (but it obviously depends on the amount of time remaining, skills of the teams, etc.).

I expect most coaches to remain risk-averse and choose the relatively easy 33 yard extra point attempt, converting successfully at roughly a 95% rate for an additional one point, but that a coach like Chip Kelly will hopefully (finally) take advantage of the additional potential points that are being discounted and have a two point package with Tim Tebow and DeMarco Murray.  With such a package I would expect a team to have roughly an overall 64% success rate.  While there is a potential game theory flaw with my estimation (although I attempted to account for it), I think that it would be an accurate estimate given that rushing two point attempts convert at an rate of around 61% and Tebow and Murray would offer an above average rushing attack package. 

Presuming fifty touchdowns in a season, then implementing a 64% successful conversion rate for two point conversion attempts would result in approximately 64 points from two point conversions, while if a team would attempt to convert the 95% extra point, the team would only produce 48 points (rounded up).  Consequently, the Eagles should be able to add nearly two-thirds of a normal game of scoring to their season points total and give themselves a slight, tenable advantage over the rest of the NFL.  (Due to Tebow being released I would now estimate the Eagles' chances of successfully converting two point attempts to be at 58%, less of an advantage to be sure, but it would still be worth it for the Eagles to attempt two point conversions nearly every time they score a touchdown.)

Wednesday, August 19, 2015

Validation of Laziness

There are many days in which I do not feel motivated and fail to perform any regular definition of the word “work”.  In my conscience I used to feel remorse and shame when I was lazy, but thankfully I no longer have these sensitivities.  Despite my evolution past my conscience there are some people around me who have not evolved as much as I have and believe I am not actually carrying out work when I am lazy.  I think that these people are misguided in their intolerant views.  I think that my movement has a lot of merit to it and that the symbolic representation of my movement should be a cross – both to symbolize the suffering that the lazy have had to endure from the dogmatic employed individuals around them and as a goading against religious zealots. I wish that the narrow-minded people who do not recognize what I believe could feel as liberated as I do.

As a result, I think that the government should validate my belief that all “work” should be rewarded, even if my interpretation of the word “work” effects a complete redefinition of the term and the “work” that I carry out simply pertains to sitting around and doing nothing.  Accordingly, the government should reward my right to have a different definition for what “work” really means and should reward my outstanding productivity on these days and give me the same recognition and benefits that many working-class individuals receive, aka respect and money.  A further collaboration with my reasoning is that there are some employed individuals who earn money in dishonorable manners and the way in which I desire to earn money is no less reasonable.  Those who are employed need not worry about some watering down of “work”, there will surely be no slippery slope of consequences resulting from the substantiation of my belief.  I simply want some sort of “higher being” to validate me.

[I wrote this to be taken as satire, although through it I may happen to be making an analogy to another issue, just in case you could not tell.]

Three Topics: Representatives of what/whom? Can We be God? Flawed Messaging?

Representatives of the People or the Constitution?
I fail to understand why some people get upset when their representative or representatives in the US congress or their state legislator or legislators, etc., disregard what appears to be the majority of the people's wishes in that particular district or state.  I agree that most representative things should be, you know, representative of whatever they are supposed to be representative of.. But, politicians should not actually be proper representatives.  Last time I checked, politicians do not make an oath to carry out their duties as a politician along the same lines as what the majority of the populace in their representative area wish for them to support. Simply being a representative representative leads to mob rule, which does not quite happen to be what the Founding Fathers intended..  

Instead, I have this silly thought that the representatives should not be representative to the people whom they are representing, unless there is a completely gray area that is being discussed, and should actually be carrying out what the Constitution says they should be doing.  Politicians do not swear to defend the people and all of their many wishes, but to defend the Constitution.  Of course the number of politicians that actually believe that they should defend the Constitution and then carry that out with their actions are few and far between, but I still think that you have to begin with one of the root symptoms of the problem instead of simply attacking politicians with the flawed Constitutional premise that politicians are not truly 'representing' the people by not carrying out whatever the majority of people desire.

Do We Get to be God?
(Here's an even quicker thought, though it grabbed some other flawed premises to make it about the same length as the first discussion point..) I do not understand why some people say that Christians need to BE THE GOSPEL.  How does that even make sense?  I cannot be the Gospel. How can I be God?  We can spread the Gospel certainly, but in no sense of the term can we actually BE the Gospel.

The 'Be The Gospel' kind of thinking tends to run alongside other great beliefs such as, I'm not religious, I'm spiritual, or Jesus is above religion, etc.  In regards to the I'm not religious, I'm spiritual comment, while I would be tempted to just flippantly say to these fine folks that indeed they are not religious and are consequently not actually Christians, that would probably be the wrong thing to do.  While some of them are indeed not Christians, certainly this is not the case for all of them.  This may actually be one of the rare times where improperly judging others may actually apply, and, as such, since we do not get to be the final arbitrate we should not come out and say that those people are not Christians..  However, that obviously still does not at all mean that we should not attempt to convince them that their statement is contrary to the Bible, and attempt to convince them that both 'spirituality' and religion are quite important in Christianity. 

(In general I'm not actually a big fan of 'spirituality'.. Partially because of the lack of common definition, for instance it can mean such things as, relating to ecclesiastical law belonging to the church, attachment to religious values, or, the most common meaning, relating to a person's spirit.  Which leads me to my second main reason as why I think 'spirituality' or being 'spiritual' happen to be silly terms.  What does it even mean for something to 'relate' to a person's spirit?  It doesn't really mean anything.  What it means for one person could be almost entirely different to another person.  The terms that I find which define spirituality and spiritual provide definitions that either do not help an argument for Christians to be more spiritual than religious or provide amorphous definitions that do not truly define anything.)

I find the Jesus is above religion comment to be just a bit pretentious, among other things anyways.  This statement is much like saying that Jesus is above grace or above belief...  Is the Lord above all things?  Certainly, but this is an argument on a different level (I'm not even certain if I nail down the proper level here, since I really think that statements such as Jesus is above religion are just one of the Devil's ways to attempt for Christianity and Christ to lose their proper definitions, so that even so called Christians will not truly be Christians.).  What this Jesus is above religion saying may really be trying to get at is a difference of semantics, with the consequences of those redefinitions being a weakening of a person's faith.  

While it is definitely possible to define religion a bit differently, religion may effectively be simply defined as the following:  Religion is a belief in some sort of deity.  The statement that Jesus is above religion simply does not make any coherent sense.  Are you trying to say that it is not necessary to believe in Christ?  Are you trying to say that Christ is not a deity (much less THE Deity)?  Your logical framework is fundamentally flawed and makes no sense.  While obviously the vast majority of religions do not lead to Heaven (maybe this is the point of the saying?), Christianity does point the true way to Heaven. Christianity is a means to Heaven, a means to spending eternity with Christ.  

Last I checked, Christ said that He alone is the narrow path to Heaven. Trying to unwind the intertwining of religion and Christ simply does not work. We need to believe in Christ's death on the cross, His resurrection, His 100% Godness, etc., to be Christians.  How is it possible to have an ocean yet no water within it?  How is it possible to be with Christ come Judgment Day and yet be saved without faith?  While Christ and Christianity are, or course, not of the same essence, there are plenty of interweaving parts wherein it is impossible to have Christianity without Christ and it is impossible to reach Christ without Christianity, without belief in Christ and God giving us saving grace.  There are no other means by which a person may be saved, Christ has laid out the only path to heaven.  We are saved by God's grace through faith in Christ given to us by the Holy Spirit.

The Flawed Messaging of Pro-Marriage and Pro-Life Groups
Why do pro-marriage groups tend to brand themselves as being against 'gay' marriage and pro traditional marriage? There is only one kind of marriage: marriage between a man and a woman. God set the standard, mankind cannot redefine it. You are either pro marriage or you are for redefining it, there is no middle ground where you should defend marriage on the basis of it being 'traditional'.

While pro-lifers tend to get more of their branding right, I certainly have plenty of problems with their messaging as well. For instance, occasionally you may see billboards that say something along the lines of, “My heart beat 30 days from conception.” I am guessing that the point that Pro-Lifers of America and other groups are trying to propose is that babies are in fact humans, so through the advertisement's messaging they are trying to humanize the babies. While I think that this is a somewhat decent idea and all, I think that it still misses the, uh, heart of the issue.

If we were to all accept that babies are alive once their heart starts beating, then what? If a person 'sheart stops for an instant, can they be killed in that instant? Or does the heart have to stop beating for longer than an instant? Can a person be killed if they have numerous heart palpitations in a day? Or does the line for killing a person begin 'legally' if that person is under cardiac arrest? Why set premises that give your opponent the means they need to murder children? If you say that murdering children is legal at any point beyond conception, then there will still be a vast number of abortions  (see that as murders of little children) that will take place in that 'murder legal' zone. And if for some reason you think that there will not be any doctors who would be willing to perform murders even if a child is only a few days from being delivered and there are pragmatic laws against said murders, then I have some children in Pennsylvania to show you. NO, WAIT, I cannot show you those children because those children happen to be DEAD.

Knowing that there are billions of people going to Hell should probably be the saddest thing in my life.  But, for whatever reason, a fair amount of the time, I tend to be the most saddened and angered by all of the abortions which take place in America and across the world.  I get extremely frustrated with the ticky-tack, go along to get along, pragmatic policies of the pro-lifers who, while they may save a few kids here and there, in general, those who want to murder children will find a way to keep the murder factories running and accept the human sacrifices before the pragmatic regulations would take effect anyways. In conceding that life beings at some point after conception, pro-lifers may as well be waving the white flag.
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Pro-lifers need to have some sort of higher standard.  If everyone simply went basing their decisions on what science proves, then I've got some news for you, we would all be liable to be killed at any instant. Even when there is some sort of general consensus about an issue there will still almost always be plenty of dissenters who do not see that issue in that particular light. Science can prove nothing. Science can set no true lasting standard.  There is always more potential knowledge which could be learned that would put things into an entirely new perspective. Only lasting things get to set the lasting standards.  If only there would just be some sort of truly lasting thing, some sort of eternal deity that laid down the standards.  If only there would be some sort of eternal deity who would have happened  to step into history at some point and put into place the proper definitions of laws that humans should follow.  If only...

Presidential Race 2012 (part 3)

I wrote this a few months ago since I still occasionally hear some of the dim-witted statements which will soon be mentioned, plus I think I failed addressed some of them at all in my previous blog posts on the presidential race.  Finally, I figured that it would still be relevant since the candidates in that election were irrelevant anyways, and defeating a false choice and other problems can happen in many other circumstances and elections.

Completely false paradox
The statement, 'if you do not vote for Romney, then you are voting for Obama'...  Is such an inane statement.  Here is a scenario...  (As a quick lead-in, I am not necessarily trying to draw an analogy between killing someone and politicians.  Also, I thought about an analogy with demons and Satan, it runs along the same line, I decided to just keep the mushroom illustration though.)  You are captured by the government and you are given a choice between eating poisoned mushrooms and poisoned milk toast.   Which do you choose?  They both will taste bad and they will both kill you. The poisoned mushroom is obvious.  It has a sign saying it is a death cap mushroom.  The poisoned milk toast is not quite as obvious.  It only has a sign saying that while it is indeed poisoned, it does not have the same type of poisoning as the death cap mushroom and will be a slower releasing poison.  Which of the two options do you choose?  Poisonous mushroom or poisoned milk toast?

My choice is that it is a completely false choice and paradox and that I would abstain from both. That is when the Republicrats say, Wait, what?  There is no third option, thus your choice is NOT an option.  How dare you do that.  By not choosing to eat the poisoned milk toast you are really choosing to eat the poisoned mushrooms.  Eh?  I did not choose to eat either, because, frankly, both choices stink and will kill me.  There was no statement running through my head like, by not voting for someone thus I am actually voting for the other person.  

And by doing this I am not per se saying that I am smarter than everyone else, nor am I trying to say that I am holier than thou.. I am just saying that compromising from evil A to evil B does not work AT ALL.  Also, in the end I am still forced to eat the poisoned mushrooms by the guards. There is something called a primary.. (At least I think.. Maybe it is just a rumor.)  And in it you can actually choose candidates who are somewhat principled and you can actually tell what they stand for instead of nominating a nominee that is as bad and wishy-washy as milk toast (unless you like milk toast, in which case I should probably have a different analogy).

Anybody but Obama
A good portion of Republicans voted for Romney to be the nominee in the primary, because he was 'anybody but Obama'. They thought he had a chance to beat Obama.  Right...  That worked out really well.  The nominee was anybody but Obama.  Does not mean the nominee had to be better or worse, just that he had to be anybody.  And he was anybody alright...  If the voting populace does not even attempt to hold candidates to standards, then the candidates themselves very likely will not attempt to apply standards for themselves.

Pandering is lying
In politics 'pandering' (see that as going where the wind/public opinion blows and lying to your constituency) happens fairly often.  A candidate realizes that position A is more popular with potential voters than position B, hence he changes his position to appeal to more voters. Romney was and is a genius at pandering. The number of times in which he has changed positions on anything from abortion to taxes has happened close to innumerably.  But, even when the general election came around in 2012, Romney did not really have any truly good positions.  And even IF Romney would have had any good positions, (and no, 'repealing Obamneycare' does not count for various reasons) I still would not have voted for him.. Why?  Because you cannot trust perpetual liars.  Perpetual panderers.  One of the many, many problems with Romney is that he only has positions he does not have convictions.

Who chooses whom?
(This next short topic is sort of irrelevant to Romney and Obama, but I wanted to include it.)  Who owns the US military?  There are various stages as to who controls it, but the true owner of the military is the American people.  For a random example.  Who paid for an American F-35?  The government, duh.  Close, but no banana.  Actually, while the government did do the official purchasing, the people who paid for that F-35 were the American people.  (Technically this is not entirely accurate, since the US is in debt to such a large extent, especially to China, etc... So it might be more accurate to say that the Chinese people paid for the plane.)

President Obama and Governor Romney were both applying to be hired by myself and the rest of the American people.  THEY are the employees, WE are the employers.  Obama and Romney both failed my application assessments miserably.  Thus, neither received any positive recommendation or feedback from myself and I denied their job applications. Sadly, many other people gave their recommendations to Obamney and accepted their job applications.  Why?  Well, many peoples' beliefs and standards are semi-different to vastly different from myself.  And a decent portion of them have a completely different view of the presidency; they view the president as the ultimate boss, while the people are mere subjects or employees.  And that would indeed effectively be the case if America's government included a Monarchical form of rule or dictatorship, but, last time I checked, I think America is supposed to have a presidency.