Friday, June 14, 2013

Heat vs Spurs Notes and Analysis for Games 1-4 of the NBA Finals 2013

Game 1 of the NBA Finals
Green was on Lebron for a good portion of the game.
Totally different Wade this game. (Finals Wade)
Lebron finally arrived with 9 minutes left (I think that's what the note meant)
3:30 Typical Parker UGH shot.  (This shot kind of annoyed me more than his theoretical 'game winning' shot. {Even though the Spurs were still up 2 before the shot anyways)

Game 2
(More Anderson please)
(Take Wade out Plz)
Post Lebron..
Miller always takes it from that spot..
Ginobili can't dribble today..
Spurs lack of movement 8:30 2nd to end.
Lack of fouls once again
Iso Duncan is not working.  (just sayin')
Well-called (referee) game again.
21-3? Whoa.
30-5, Wows.
Felt like Anderson (14 minutes) got more minutes than he actually did.
Chalmers with a noisy 19 points.
Lebron still passive, yet I like his shots.
Bill Simmons said that, "Duncan took good shots." WHAT?! In no way shape or form did that happen.  Duncan had 6 quality shots in the game and 7 non-quality shots, while by comparison Bosh had 9 good shots and only 1 NQ shot. To say that Duncan took 'good' shots is a joke.
I kind of thought Lebron played poorly throughout, except for a very minute part of the game.

Why didn't some of this happen in the first game?
When the Heat lose game 1, they go ahead and sweep the remaining games.  Spurs should be able to stop that trend, barely.
Fairly quick game.
Take the starters out, 6:00 left.  (Taken out 1:10 later.)
Messy stats..
Finally turned the Spurs over this game.
Parker was guarded well in both games.
Wade wasn't in during the huge run, surprise..

Game 3
Wade is always getting the ball early on.
Lebron... Defense..? C'mon.
A man against boys.
Wade shooting pt blank shots.
Green is great at getting back for transition defense.
Low scoring game so far.
Anderson please? 5:40 3rd down 17
3:36 finally a better lineup.
Worst finals performance by LBJ?  (Quite possibly)
Finally clicked 4th quarter begin. (I don't know what that note was supposed to mean..)
Neal's bad shots keep going down.
Demolition.
LBJ takes a small step forward.. WHY?  He took the step forward from the 3 pt arch to shoot a long 2 jumper.  (He missed it as well, but that's irrelevant.)
Not sure if you should bench starters or not...  Hmm, Yes.  5:40
Blowout City.
3rd worst loss in Final's history.  (Or from the Spurs point of view, 3rd biggest win in Finals history)
Most 3's in Final's history.  Ouch.

Game 4
I had many more notes for this game.
No way the Heat lose this game.
Popovich just got out coached, wow.  (Miller was inserted into the starting lineup for the Heat and Popovich responded with the fastest substitution in Finals history to get in NEAL.)
James is ON.  (It took all of 3 possessions to see this.  His energy on defense was back)
Parker is hurt..?
Another communication error for the Heat?
0 traps?
Heat need to trap.
6:40 Cole is finally in.
Joseph? (getting minutes instead of Parker, since he was hurt)  Hmm.
Fast breaks early for the Heat, thank goodness.
James not giving up on plays.  (something he has done a lot in the Finals, possibly because he is tired..?)
4:00
More free throws.
Much crisper Heat team today.
Game flow is favoring Heat.

2nd Quarter
Green's decline should begin now..  (He struggled a little, but he still kept hitting the triples)
About time Battier got minutes.
9:30, Wade on Parker please?
Royals with the win again.  Hottest team in baseball for awhile now.  (That didn't last for long though)
I saw Lebron coming, but Wade has really shown up about as well as Lebron has.
Wade had no non-quality attempts in the 1st quarter.
No Birdman yet.
3 minutes left.
Cole won the jump ball, game over..
Why don't the Heat complete their traps??

3rd Quarter
My main adjustment for the Heat, is that they need to do a lot more hard hedging and trapping.
(oddly enough, one of the first things out of the gate for the 2nd half) Finally a hard trap.
8:30 Looks like Parker is halfway limping now.  Finally.  (I was kind of wondering when that would happen.)  Valiant effort by Parker so far.
Spoelstra is a really good coach.  He should get more credit for the things he does.  (Wade recieved his 4th foul here, I believe) Wade is being left in.
STAY ON GREEN.  (I don't understand why on some occasions, [unless the players forget] the coaches don't just tell the player guarding Green to forget help and just focus on Green.)
67-63 Woah, horrible lineup for the Spurs right now, no Q player on besides Leonard.  Heat should win this lineup battle somewhat easily.
And of course the Spurs one field goal by this lineup was by Leonard..  He got an old fashioned 3 point play.  The Heat only 'won' the scoring battle though, 7-5. so yeah..
Refs slightly more lenient this game, though still not really an 'average' type of NBA game.
 4:39 on I tried to pay attention to the hedges and a few traps performed by the Heat.  (mostly just hedges)
Someone left Green, (to hedge kind of, which is good) but Chalmers recovered just in time to get to Green.
Love the post ups for Lebron.
Great hedge on Parker, but then 6 secs later Green is passed the ball with no one within 6 ft (at least).
Repeat of the SOG.
I'm fine getting beaten by Parker, but not by Green.
Other hedge later resulted in open 3 for Leonard, unrelated to the hedge, but he missed.

4th Quarter
Lebron time. Boo yah.  5 pt edge to begin the 4th.
Hedge "foul" on Ginobili.
Another good hedge.
Goodness.. Neal with another bad three that goes in.
Anderson in for Haslem please..  (Didn't happen, Anderson didn't get any playing time.)
Another great hedge.
Another hedge, partially indirect result was a jump ball.
Yeah.
Lebron with rest, boo-yah.  (If only the Thunder had done likewise with KD....  Ugh... That still annoys me)
Ginobili with a 'what are you thinking' 3 pointer.  (and like most of his shots this series it missed)
Never give Parker & Popovich the same look.
Wow.  ABC is showing the block highlights, 7 total, I haven't been paying attention to that, but i would have thought it would be like 4 to 6 blocks.
Splitter's FT coach FTW.  (I assume that person would be the Spur's main FT coach, so major props to him.  Especially considering all the great FT performances by the Spurs this year.)
Trapping results in a TO and fast break opportunity.  Wade dunks it.  How odd that trapping can cause turnovers....
High scoring evenish game finally.
LBJ can come back in now..
Wade hitting a couple midrange jumpers finally.
Ginobili has been a bit of a liability this series.
Finally a Heat player is over 20 pts.
6:04 4th 11 pt spread. Lebron has been oddly (and understandably, since he's actually playing defense this game) tired this game.
6 steals for Wade.
Didn't hedge, resulted in a Q shot for Parker (which he missed)
Who is this Dwayne Wade?
Gj helping Parker up, Chalmers.
A trap resulted in Duncan throwing it away, wow..
I agree with Van Gundy, the Heat have given a lot more effort tonight.
Wade has been fairly consistent throughout this game, first time all series, except for parts of game 1.
Double digit victory.. I don't know about everyone else, but this was a huge surprise to me.. (that was sarcasm.. Jic you couldn't tell.)
 In some ways I thought the referees were biased in favor for the Heat for certain calls, but then I looked at the box score after the game, and the Heat shot 14 fewer free throws.  I think this has been a very decently called series.

Here are some notes I am just now writing that are based on interesting statistics of how the players performed in my stats.
Game 1
Heat Defense.  Bosh, Allen, and especially Anderson were good defensively.  James, Wade, and to a certain extent Haslem were all poor defenders.
Spurs Defense.  Leonard had a decent game defensively.  Green was very (which is odd for him) poor defensively.  Splitter was decent, Parker was not taken enough on the offensive end..  Duncan was all over the place, in both good and bad ways.
Spurs Offensive Notes.  Green and Leonard took a combined 14 threes, 12 of which were quality, Green was hitting his, Leonard was not.  The only two black holes (in terms of NQ shots) for the Spurs were Duncan and Parker.  (Per usual, basically.)
Heat Offensive Notes.  The Heat took many Q3s (which is effectively the only kind of 3 they take.)
Extremely impressive shot selection throughout the table.

Game 2
Heat Defense.  Lebron again playing as a below average defender.  No horrible defenders this time.  Again Anderson was effectively the best defender.  Haslem with a bounce-back game.  Miller was also very decent.
Spurs Defense.  Parker was a major liability on defense.  Green was flying around to a certain extent, but he wasn't always in the right place.  Duncan was mostly positive this time.
Spurs Offensive Notes.  Duncan and Parker were again the black holes of the offense.  Green took 5 quality 3's, and hit each shot.  Lack of free throws for both sides.
Heat Offensive Notes.  Wade and Bosh were slight NQ offenders.  Otherwise, fairly typical Heat amazingness.

Game 3
Heat Defense.  Cole and Bosh were both decent defenders.  Wade and James were extremely poor defenders.
Spurs Defense.  Leonard was extremely good.  Duncan was oddly quiet.  Again the Heat did not attack Parker (or Neal) enough.  Green was absolutely amazing this game.  He was effectively, literally everywhere.  I stat-ed him as defending 20 possessions, a very high number, especially for a guard, and not only did he just defend them, but he did an incredibly decent job at defending them.
Spurs Offensive Notes.  Parker didn't take many shots this game, and Duncan finally had an efficient game.  For some reason though, other Spurs players picked up some of the NQ slack by throwing up some NQ shots.  Green continued his incredible shooting, while Neal somehow...  managed to shoot (at least in my recorded shots) 6-10 from deep, despite only 4 of those being quality shots.
Heat Offensive Notes.  Again James and Wade slight NQ offenders, everyone else was incredibly decent.  (other than that they were out rebounded and stuff, it's a bit odd that the Heat lost this game so badly)

Game 4
Heat Defense.  Miller had oddly poor defense this game.  James (FINALLY!) played like an elite defender. Cole submitted another very good defensive effort.  Battier (per usual, when he gets decent playing time) was a good defender.  Wade was gambling all over the place, and as such, actually had no 'medium/average' defenses, but was instead towards the high or low quality end of the defensive spectrum.
Spurs Defense.  Leonard (once again) was very good.  Parker and Neal are still not being attacked enough.  Ginobili was a very poor defender.  Duncan had a lot of total defenses, but didn't perform very well.  Green had as many defensive possessions charted as Chris Bosh!  (they might share my record for most defenses in a game)  And while Green obviously was not always perfect, he still did an incredibly decent job of defending the opposition.
Spurs Offensive Notes.  Duncan with his second straight fairly efficient game.  Once again, Neal hit a very high number of NQ 3's.  Probably due to Miami's defense the Spurs took an oddly low amount of Q 3's this game, only 6 total shots.
Heat Offensive Notes.  A pristine offensive performance by the Heat, except for Wade..  Wade had 8 NQ shots, which meant that he tied with Neal as shooting the most NQ shots.  Wade and Lebron were effectively constantly attacking or pulling up for midrange jumpers this game, as such the Heat attempted a lower than usual number of threes.

Overarching notes.
The combined NQ shots of Parker, Neal, and Duncan are greater than all the combined NQ shots by the Heat.
Duncan has taken 17 NQ shots.. And hit a grand total of zero of them.  Parker is slightly better, shooting 26 NQ shots and hitting 6 of them.  Neal has taken a total of 23 NQ shots and he has hit 11 of them.  (most of which were 3's)
Wade is the worst NQ offender on the other side, he has taken 17 and splashed 6 of them.

MVD
Green and Bosh/Anderson have been their team's Most Valuable Defenders through 4.
MVOP
I can't really split the tie on this one.. So it's a 3 way tie on Miami's side.  Chalmers, Bosh, and Allen.  (Somewhat honorable mention to LBJ and Anderson, who did not qualify due to lack of shot attempts)
Gary Neal..  Kidding, kidding.  This side looks much uglier than the Heat side of the table.  Another tie..  Green and Leonard.  (Somewhat honorable mention to Diaw, but nowhere close to enough shot attempts to qualify)
MVP
Hopefully the remaining 2 or 3 games will provide some real difference between these three players.  But, until then, I have a three-way tie between, Bosh, Allen, and Anderson.
(Honorable mention to Chalmers and not quite as honorable mention to James.)
On San Antonio's side it is certainly Danny Green for MVP.

These are the complete team stats for games 1-4.
One of the most interesting statistics to me is that the Heats' offense has been the main difference in the series thus far.
According to my statistics over this series the Heat should have outscored the Spurs 96.3 to 89.8.
All of this took a lot longer than I expected it to take [and I didn't get around to posting the individual team stats (which I will probably never bother posting then) ] so I won't go over this post with a fine-tooth comb looking for mistakes.  Sorry if there are a lot of blunders.  Thanks for reading, God bless.

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