Saturday, December 29, 2012

MLB 2012 Review


MLB Standings - Updated: Oct 31, 2012
AL EASTWLGB
New York Yankees9666
Boston Red Sox9567
Toronto Blue Jays8379
Tampa Bay Rays8280
Baltimore Orioles6399
AL CENTRALWLGB
Kansas City Royals8676
Detroit Tigers8478
Cleveland Indians8181
Minnesota Twins7686
Chicago White Sox7587

Here is my late review of the 2012 MLB season...  I kind of thought I already posted this, but apparently I did not.
The Yankees were within a game of my prediction.  I wanted to believe in Baltimore, but I couldn't pull the trigger.  Plus I had Baltimore in last place and they finished 30 games above where I predicted them to finish, so that was a really bad prediction.   Tampa Bay finished 8 games below my prediction.  Toronto finished 10 games below.  While the Red Sox stunk and finished 26 games below.

Detroit was actually fairly accurate.  While the Royals were my homer pick, I still did actually think they would make some noise this year.  Chicago was a bit better than I thought.  Cleveland didn't do a lot.  Surprising to see Minnesota lose 96 games.

MLB Standings - Updated: Oct 1, 2012
AL WESTWLGB
LA Angels9666
Texas Rangers9072
Seattle Mariners 7389
Oakland A's7290
NL EASTWLGB
Philadelphia Phillies9765
Florida Marlins8973
Atlanta Braves8874
Washington Nationals8082
New York Mets7290




Oakland won 22 games more than I expected and won the division.  Who saw that coming?  Texas was within the margin of error.  The Angels only finished 7 games worse than expected, but they still finished outside of playoff contention.  The Mariners I nailed.

Washington's talent came together a year earlier than expected.  Atlanta was accurate.  Philly suffered some injuries and collapsed in the first half of play.  Nailed the Mets.  Really, really dumb decision by me to pick Miami to win 89 games..



MLB Standings - Updated: Oct 31, 2012
NL CENTRALWLGB
Cincinnati Reds8775
Milwaukee Brewers8577
St. Louis Cardinals8478
Pittsburgh Pirates8181
Chicago Cubs7389
Houston Astros53109
NL WESTWLGB
San Francisco Giants9072
Arizona Diamondbacks8577
LA Dodgers8082
Colorado Rockies7884
San Diego Padres7389



Solid pick with the Reds, but they did finish with 10 more wins then expected.  Accurate win total for the Cards, but they ended up reaching the playoffs.  Brewers were accurate.  As were the Pirates.  I was too favorable on the Cubs.  Houston said goodbye to the NL Central with a 55-107 record, ouch.

The San Fran prediction was accurate for the regular season, but I did not see them winning the World Series.. Dodgers prediction was mostly accurate.  Accurate with both the Diamondbacks and Padres.  The Rockies were a bit disappointing.
Credit for the blue box scores on the left goes to http://espn.go.com/mlb/standings and for the right side red box scores, http://www.operationsports.com/.  

Sunday, December 23, 2012

Scintillating Locks of the Week

These are some theoretical recreational bets.  In no way do I want anyone to use these bets, or any other  imaginable bet.  Trying to make your living by betting sports is a very silly way to try and make a living.  However, so long as you don't mind investing your money in the stock market, then I don't necessarily see a huge problem with someone making an occasional bet.  However if it becomes an addiction, then that is an entirely different matter.  For a man is a slave to whatever has mastered him. (2 Peter 2:19)  Gambling has and does destroy lives and families, so in no way shape or form do I endorse gambling.  With those disclaimers in place..  Here is a pick.  I don't know how often I will do this..  The average will possibly be around one pick a week.  I'm just going to update this blog post whenever I am making a pick, so I won't just be making a ton of 50 word blog posts.  Once I get to 50 (maybe..), then I'll start a new blog post to add picks on.

Overall record  7-5

Just for fun, I'm starting out with a fictional $1000.             Money placed     won-lost          Balance
I think Cleveland actually has a vague chance of upsetting the Broncos.  I'll be content to just lay the 13.5 though.  Peyton Manning is the reason that Denver has improved so much this season, and I think he has an off day today.  And I'm tired of people saying that this is how the Broncos should have looked last year..  Cleveland did struggle last week against the Redskins, but the Browns play opponents toughly and 13.5 is way too much.
Cleveland +13.5 (+100) vs. Denver.                    X                  50                    -50                    950
First pick didn't turn out very well.  Denver dominated Cleveland.

Random NBA bet.  I like New Orleans to stop their losing streak tonight.
NO to win outright (+130) vs. Orlando                                    60                     +78                 1028
Well, it was right.  That's all I've got to say.

Last regular season week for the NFL in 2012, so I went a little crazy on the number of bets this week.
I don't like this pick very much, but I'll take Tennessee to beat Jacksonville in what should be Jacksonville's last game without Tebow.
Tennessee - 4.5 (-110) vs Jacksonville                                      50                      +45                1073

Andy Reid's last game with the Eagles, I'll take the 7.5, thank you.
Eagles +7.5 vs Giants                                           X                    60                      -60                 1013                                                                  
That was ugly tosay the least.  Adios to Coach Reid and Mr. Vick.

Another anti Broncos pick.
Chiefs +15.5 vs Broncos                                      X                    70                      -70                 943                                                                      
Yep.  I should stop taking the Broncos opponent..  I'm sure that will stop in the postseason..  Or not.

Taking 14.5 on principle only.  Don't like taking the Cards though..
Cardinals +14.5 vs 49er's                                                        50                      +45                988                                                                          
Won by a measly half a point, but a win is a win.

Rams have owned their division.  Even though they've been insanely hot lately the Seahawks aren't playing for very much this week.
Rams +10.5 vs Seahawks                                                        50                      +50                1038                                                                          
Rams had a chance to win the game, but I only had them for the cover anyways.

It's probably going to be that the winner gets the lone remaining playoff spot, so I'll go ahead and take Tony Romo over the rookie RGIII.
Cowboys to win outright (130) vs Redskins         X                 70                       -70                968                                                                              
Good game by RGIII, but the game was lost thanks to Tony Romo.  I was a little surprised by how much he struggled.

I really shouldn't do this, but I'm going to pick each wildcard playoff match.
Similar game to last year, once again Houston wins.
Houston -4.5 against the Bengals                                           60                       +60               1028
Part 2 like part 1.

On principle only I'm very tempted to pick the Vikings, but I think the Pack should be extremely good in the rematch at Lambeau.
GB -7.5 vs Vikings                                                                  60                        +55             1083
Pack attack dominated.

I like the Colts, but they should be overmatched in this game.
Balt 6.5 vs Indy                                                                        70                       +65             1148              
Yep, the Colts were overpowered.

I've struggled with this match-up a ton, but I'll go ahead and have a clean sweep for the home teams.
Washington +130 vs Seattle                                   X                   50                     -50              1098                          
It looked good early on, but then RG3 suffered a gruesome injury.

Boston +1000 to win division.  Since I expect the Knicks to fall back to earth, I don't understand why you can be getting so much, when Boston only needs to go on a little winning streak.               150                                        948                                                                                                
                                           
Falcons +800 to win SB.                                                              50                   -50                898
Falcons had at least a decent chance to get to the SB, but they fell to the ground in the end.

Seahawks are a mediocre team on the road, but I definitely did not want the Falcons to have to face them.
Falcons vs Seahawks                                                                  60                      +60            958    
Falcons had just enough to win in the end.

Manning is the GRQBOAT, but I think he'll struggle a little in this game, and the Ravens can pound the Broncos on the ground.
Ravens +600? vs Broncos                                                            60                      +360          1318                
For a while it looked like the +9 would have been better, but the Ravens ended up pulling it out.

A-Rodge vs Kaepernick..  Yep.  That pretty much settles it.
Packers +130 vs 49er's                                            X                    80                      -80              1238
Kaepernick did some impressive stuff and overpowered the Packer's defense.

Falcons getting home field should be the deciding factor in this game.
Falcons +130 vs 49er's                                            X                    70                      -70              1168
Very similar game to last week, only this time the Falcons couldn't recover.  Falcons went up 17-0 blew the lead, and they were up 24-14 at half.   Blew that too.  Still had a good chance to win at the end but that blew up as well.

Now that the Falcons are out I will actually be rooting for the Ravens to win the SB.  (even though the Pats were the other half of my SB pick) I'm not positive the Ravens will pull off the upset this week, but I'll definitely take the +9.
Ravens +9 vs Patriots                                                                70                      +65              1303
Ravens upset yet another team.  The defense really dominated the Pats throughout.

I've seen a couple of both team's games and Houston dominates in terms of Quality shots vs non quality shots.
Houston vs +130 Utah                                                               70                      +90              1393
Houston ended up giving the Jazz a record setting loss.

After the Falcons lost their close game, I have thought the Ravens would win the SB.
Ravens +130 against the 49er's                                                 80                      +110              1503
Flacco gets a SB in another entertaining SB.

Over/under NFL
Bengals under 8 ½ Even
Colts under 8½ -105
Dolphins under 7½ +105
Vikings under 7½ -125
Raiders over 5½ -110
Eagles over 7 -115
Redskins under 8½ -140
Buccanneers over 7½ -140
Chargers over 7½ -130
Steelers over 9 -140
First 5 at 150, next 2 at 50, and final 3 at 40.  

Over/under cf
OSU over 10½ +120
Iowa over 5½ -140
Purdue under 5½ -300
Baylor over 8 -105
ISU over 5½ +195
Arkansas over 5½ -130
OKSU under 9½ -115
Washington over 7½ -130
First 4 at 100, next 2 at 60, and final 2 at 40.

To win division
Patriots 1/6
Packers 5/8
Texans 4/11
Broncos 1/7
Falcons even
Steelers 7/4
Eagles 5/1
49ers 5/6
First 3 at 100, next 3 at 60, final 2 at 30.

To reach SB
Texans 5/1
Falcons 7/1
Packers 6/1
Eagles 30/1
First 3 at 40, final 1 at 8.

To win conference
Texas 5/2
Oklahoma 3/1
Baylor 12/1
Boise State 2/5
USC 2/1
OSU 1/5
First at 40, next at 30, next at 10, and final 3 at 50.

Most of these lost, at some point I may get to posting the results.